Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa β xTears 9.74 (24/05/26)
Aston Villa came back to win 1-2 against Manchester City on 24 May 2026 during Matchday 38 of the Premier League. Total damage: 9.74 xTears.
The real swing for Aston Villa arrived through O. Watkins 47' goal (+1.34 xT) and O. Watkins 61' goal (+1.85 xT), the sequence that changed who owned the match.
The match changed hands after the first blow, and Aston Villa's comeback ended up outweighing the opening phase.
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How it unfolded
23'
Goal
A. Semenyo - Manchester City
47'
Goal
O. Watkins - Aston Villa
61'
Goal
O. Watkins - Aston Villa
Assist: R. Barkley
Absolute chaos
5.04
61'
Goal
+1.85 xT
O. Watkins - Aston Villa
Assist: R. Barkley
23'
Goal
+1.41 xT
A. Semenyo - Manchester City
47'
Goal
+1.34 xT
O. Watkins - Aston Villa
86'
Substitution
+0.44 xT
J. McGinn for R. Barkley - Aston Villa
Late drama
1.48
82'
Yellow card
+1.04 xT
R. Lewis - Manchester City
86'
Substitution
+0.44 xT
J. McGinn for R. Barkley - Aston Villa
All-out war
1.04
82'
Yellow card
+1.04 xT
R. Lewis - Manchester City
Referee scandal
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Cruelty
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Crushed hope
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Other pretty unhinged matches
The most unhinged matches connected to this one.
Head-to-head
Premier League|22 Apr 2025
Manchester City
2Aston Villa
115.15
Manchester City
Premier League|12 Nov 2023
Chelsea
4Manchester City
423.42
Aston Villa
Premier League|17 Dec 2023
Brentford
1Aston Villa
224.01
This season
Premier League|29 Nov 2025
Sunderland
3Bournemouth
223.16
Premier League
Premier League|30 Sept 2023
Tottenham
2Liverpool
124.66

