Benfica 4-2 Real Madrid — xTears 26.97 (28/01/26)

Benfica came back to win 4-2 against Real Madrid on 28 January 2026 in the Champions League. Total damage: 26.97 xTears.

The real swing for Benfica arrived through A. Schjelderup 36' goal (+1.24 xT) and V. Pavlidis 45' penalty (+1.77 xT), the sequence that changed who owned the match.

The match changed hands after the first blow, and Benfica's comeback ended up outweighing the opening phase. It got worse for the side already chasing shadows: red card (Raúl Asencio at 90+2', while chasing it) and red card (Rodrygo at 90+6', while chasing it). The match lost its cool with 9 yellows and 2 reds. Raúl Asencio eventually walked for a second booking. The whistle kept getting involved under Davide Massa, Italy, with 1 VAR call.